(Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. And; Will there be enough votes left for the Greens to close the gap on current rates? Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. To date, I have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee representatives to bring back $3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. Now we have the Libs ahead of Labor by 137 votes, and the Greens only 208 votes behind, with still the following remaining: Provisionals (always favour Greens) Reports of 1000 Covid votes (both parties expect to favour Greens) Still a total 4648 postals issued but not counted. This information is provided for illustrative purposes. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. The two occasions give all candidates a chance to explain their policies and properly address the questions asked by the moderators and audience members. The Greens still got the increase in the vote with the independent running and as seen on the VEC website, most Independent voters put the Greens above Labor and Liberals. I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. . After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. Redistribution Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Occupation: Founder and owner of Plastics & Paper Direct, Education: Attended Brevard Community College, Political/government/civic experience:2003-04 Melbourne Zoning Board of Adjustment;2004-05 Melbourne Airport Authority;Space Coast League of Cities representative to Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization;2004-12 Melbourne Council Member District2 (vice mayor in 2006 and2010);2013 Brevard CountyCitizens Advisory Board;2018-22 Melbourne City Council Member District 2, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: Website under construction. I think this is more important then people think. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. William Bowes update on PB tonight sums it up well and he states that based on whats left and how the numbers are falling, things are now trending the Greens way. I will work diligently with the council and various boards to direct and focus attention to these significant concerns. Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. Tony Penna, SRA President will be the moderator. West Melbourne, a 10-square-mile enclave nestled between its larger neighbors of Melbourne and Palm Bay, moved to support its own water plant to meet the needs of the growing city. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link . Current preference flow: LIB 47%, GRN 35.4%, ALP 17.6%. This article displays an image of an official 2022 sample ballot from Florida. When comparing Greens and Labor. Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. Burns was the Labor candidate for Caulfield at the 2014 state election. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). Labor would have still won since they still hold Albert Park by a 11% margin compared to the Libs 2% margin in Caufield though there was a 2% swing to the Libs in both seats against expectations the Lib vote would further collapse in that area like in the federal election. Will the current flows (which put the Greens on track to pass Labor) continue? Numerous annual continuing-education classes on ethics and city planning classes. Second Issue: Economic development. The remaining are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls. I agree, PN. Heres a summary of the current state of play. . A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. The video of the event is the third of the three videos below. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. Since Labor already needs the support of the Greens to pass anything through the Senate, it doesnt make a huge difference in practical terms whether they also need Greens (or Independent) support in the House or have a majority in their own right. Attracting and retaining businesses, while improving our infrastructure to keep up with the growth. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. On those boundaries, for decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and Labor usually easily retained it even during severe nationwide defeats for Labor. Dont get me wrong. But Im tipping Burns to hold in a Labor v Greens count. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. In 3CP terms after minor preferences, thats 32.2% LIB, 30.5% ALP, 37.3% GRN if postals continue flowing like the last batch too (and every single batch has been moving in that same direction). See ships at Port Phillip Heads: Arrivals - subtract 3.5 hours from ETA. I post on my regular Andrea Young Facebook and I frequently post on my localNextdoor.comwebsite. To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. In Caulfield, the Liberal Party was far out ahead, while the Liberal Party narrowly outpolled Labor in Port Melbourne. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). Just to clarify Daniel, Liberals currently lead Labor by 50 votes on the 3CP, but the rstes at which new votes are breaking, after the Libs outpace Labor 3:1 on minor preferences, is actually adding to that lead, not reducing it. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Amazing result from Steph Hodgins-May and even if she doesnt win, hopefully it will energize her to try a 4th time. Adams also points to the importance of focusing on the towns infrastructure needs. Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. Basically all that has to happen for the Greens to currently win, is that the votes need to keep breaking exactly as they are, and there needs to be at least 800 more postal votes received. It also had a high proportion of atheists and agnostics, with 38.8% of residents answering "No Religion" in the 2016 census, compared to 30.1% nationwide. Rebuild of State Road 192/Hollywood Boulevard intersection, including Evans Road. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). I can see the Greens overtaking Labor. He served as Deputy Prime Minister for the last four months of the Whitlam government, and retired in 1977. Labor's state and federal executives did not adopt Danby's position. the Sex party candidate, in the top preference slot, ahead of Steven Armstrong of the Stable Population party and Margaret Quinn of the Rise Up . Theres an estimated 6500 ballots left to count, and if they continue to break the same way they currently are, and Covid votes also favour the Greens, they will be on track to erase that deficit, while the strong preference flow to the Libs also keeps them ahead of Labor, dropping Labor to third place. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Because Antony Green knows way more (if it is true that he was going to call it). Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. Results prior to 2019 were under the electorate's former name of Melbourne Ports.). Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. Damches has a bachelor's degree in International Relations and worked in retail and fashion before working as a legal assistant. 3. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. . Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. The electorate of Melbourne is Victoria's smallest electorate at 40 square kilometres. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. Subscribe today. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? I support the use of all available tools, including fee-based programs that would be paid for by polluters, but could result in significant savings for our citizens, like septic system improvements, odor controland enhanced water testing. Redistribution Macnamara lost Windsor to Higgins. He represented construction workers before the Cole Building Industry Royal Commission, represented unions and workers during the Ansett insolvency, and states that he was involved in prosecuting some of Australia's biggest clothing companies for breaches of laws designed to prevent the exploitation of outworkers. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. Mandy Nolan Candidate for Richmond Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. The Greens have a ridiculously small margin of error for it to not work out for them. Not just passing legislation in the House if representatives but also the symbolism of legitimacy that Anthony Albanese won a majority in his own right. Immediately below is the video of the event. I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. Before being won by Josh Burns in 2019, the electorate had been represented by only five members in 113 years. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. Daniel, the biggest problem for Labor at the moment is that their margin vs Liberals on how the current votes are breaking is smaller than the advantage the Liberals are getting over Labor on minor preferences. Departures - add 3.5 hours to ETD. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . He grew up in Melbourne's western suburbs delivering newspapers to help his working-class family with a bit of extra income while he gained his accountant's diploma. At first glance that looks like Labor would outperform the Liberals right? The successful candidates were: Canal Ward Tim Baxter (Deputy Mayor) Rhonda Clark Louise Crawford Gateway Ward Heather Cunsolo Peter Martin Marcus Pearl (Mayor) Lake Ward Andrew Bond Katherine Copsey Christina Sirakoff You have entered an incorrect email address! No way Labor comes 3rd. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. Within our city, I would work to educate residents within the Melbourne utility system about sewer lines in lieu of harmful additives and broken septic systems. The Green line plots the Green two-candidate preferred vote against Labor 2007-2013 and against the Liberal Party in 2016 and 2019. It is important to maintain our roads before they become a costly problem. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne City Council (appointed June 2022); secretary of Space Coast Field of Dreams board; West Melbourne Citizens Leadership Academy; former deputy chair of West Melbourne Parks & Recreation board; former Brevard educator; Transportation & Intergovernmental Relations Policy Committee member; member of the Melbourne, Palm Bay, Titusville and Cocoa Beach chambers of commerce; and LEAD Brevard board member. Macnamara is the new name adopted for the seat known since Federation as Melbourne Ports. 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